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Chet Holmgren
OKC · C-F|@ SAS · 2026-10-20
23.8
projavg 16.59 PTS · 7.2 over
Why this number
3 adjustments
PTS vs avg
4 of last 10 over
4/8 @ LAC · 30 PTS
His share of the offense rising from 11% to 14% lifts him 4.9 and opening nights, 5.0 above his other games across 3 seasons adds another 2.5 — expected 23.8 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 18 minutes — minutes swing ±5.2 (~6.3 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
0.6points
A typical 5 minute swing is about 3.2 points.