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Jose Alvarado
NYK · G|vs PHI · 2026-10-20
6.6
projavg 7.5 PTS · 0.9 under
Why this number
2 adjustments
PTS vs avg
6 of last 10 over
4/12 vs CHA · 16 PTS
A smaller load on a new offense, from 7% to 6% costs him 0.6, but last year's home games gives back 0.3 — expected 6.6 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 10 minutes — minutes swing ±6.8 (~3.6 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
0.4points
A typical 7 minute swing is about 2.5 points.