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Jaylen Brown
PHI · G-F|@ NYK · 2026-10-20
21.3
projavg 29 PTS · 7.7 under
Why this number
4 adjustments
PTS vs avg
8 of last 10 over
4/7 vs CHA · 35 PTS
A smaller load on a new offense, from 25% to 18% costs him 8.7, but opening nights, 2.5 above his other games across 10 seasons gives back 1.2 — expected 21.3 PTS.
Breaks if·the game stays close and those minutes come back (~0.6 PTS).
Per minute
0.8points
A typical 5 minute swing is about 4.0 points.