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SAS · G|vs OKC · 2026-10-20
15.4
projavg 18.5 PTS · 3.1 under
Why this number
3 adjustments
PTS vs avg
3 of last 10 over
4/12 vs DEN · 24 PTS
His share of the offense falling from 18% to 16% costs him 2.0, but last year's home games gives back 0.2 — expected 15.4 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 22 minutes — minutes swing ±4.6 (~5.4 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
0.6points
A typical 5 minute swing is about 2.7 points.