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SAS · G|vs OKC · 2026-10-20
11.3
projavg 12 PTS · 0.7 under
Why this number
2 adjustments
PTS vs avg
7 of last 10 over
4/12 vs DEN · 9 PTS
His share of the offense falling from 12% to 10% costs him 1.5 and last year's diet at the rim against OKC takes another 0.3 — expected 11.3 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 14 minutes — minutes swing ±4.4 (~4.5 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
Minutes aren't what's moving the points.