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DET · F|vs BOS · 2026-10-20
7.7
projavg 8 PTS · 0.3 under
Why this number
2 adjustments
PTS vs avg
4 of last 10 over
4/12 @ IND · 3 PTS
Last year's home games lifts him 0.3, but last year's diet from the corners against BOS gives back 0.1 — expected 7.7 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 10 minutes — minutes swing ±5.2 (~4 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
0.4points
A typical 5 minute swing is about 1.9 points.