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DET · G|vs BOS · 2026-10-20
14.5
projavg 11 PTS · 3.5 over
Why this number
3 adjustments
PTS vs avg
4 of last 10 over
4/8 @ LAC · 21 PTS
A larger load on a new offense, from 7% to 9% lifts him 3.2, but a defense that ranked 4th last year gives back 1.2 — expected 14.5 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 10 minutes — minutes swing ±6.9 (~5.8 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
Minutes aren't what's moving the points.