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Keldon Johnson
SAS · F-G|vs OKC · 2026-10-20
12.3
projavg 13 PTS · 0.7 under
Why this number
3 adjustments
PTS vs avg
8 of last 10 over
4/12 vs DEN · 18 PTS
His share of the offense falling from 12% to 10% costs him 1.6, but last year's home games gives back 0.3 — expected 12.3 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 15 minutes — minutes swing ±4.2 (~4.6 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
Minutes aren't what's moving the points.