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SAS · F-C|vs OKC · 2026-10-20
23.8
projavg 24.5 PTS · 0.7 under
Why this number
3 adjustments
PTS vs avg
5 of last 10 over
4/6 vs PHI · 17 PTS
His share of the offense falling from 20% to 18% costs him 3.1, but last year's home games gives back 0.7 — expected 23.8 PTS.
Breaks if·he plays under 18 minutes — minutes swing ±5.5 (~9.4 PTS of minutes downside).
Per minute
1.0points
A typical 5 minute swing is about 5.3 points.